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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

data as of 2026-03-02 19:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$36K$47K
Holders430+119311
Trades4.7K+6994.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.6%
−17.9 pp
62.5%
Avg ROI59.9%
+59.9 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.77
+6.93×
×0.84
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.73
+6.90×
×0.83
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.3K
−$23.8K
$34.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.08
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-87.5%
−110.7 pp
23.2%
Underwater %89.1%
+89.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %82.5%
−3.7 pp
86.2%
Bot %81.4%
−3.8 pp
85.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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