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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

data as of 2026-04-03 06:42 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K+$13K$7.6K
Holders205−8213
Trades2.1K−992.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.2%
+14.0 pp
40.2%
Avg ROI-1.5%
+3.8 pp
-5.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.66
−109.23×
×109.89
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.68
−113.43×
×114.10
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.6K
+$2.2K
$425
Recent buyer dominance0.69
−0.30
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL48.7%
+147.9 pp
-99.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.5%
+13.5 pp
68.0%
Bot %81.3%
+12.3 pp
69.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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