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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

data as of 2026-05-21 07:09 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$33K+$30K$3.4K
Holders373−43416
Trades2.5K−3632.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate70.8%
+22.9 pp
47.9%
Avg ROI0.9%
−0.6 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.97
−5.75×
×6.72
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.96
−8.22×
×9.18
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$31.7K
+$29.3K
$2.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.11
0.83
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL5.9%
+97.0 pp
-91.1%
Underwater %33.1%
−58.9 pp
91.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.1%
−6.2 pp
51.3%
Bot %54.1%
−8.0 pp
62.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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