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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

data as of 2026-02-16 18:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K−$18K$33K
Holders601+191410
Trades3.6K−703.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate31.7%
−24.2 pp
55.9%
Avg ROI7.1%
+7.1 pp
-0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×27.00
+26.40×
×0.60
Top-20 avg cost vs price×31.14
+30.56×
×0.58
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.6K
−$3.1K
$16.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.05
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.4%
−167.4 pp
70.9%
Underwater %93.0%
+93.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %56.8%
−16.3 pp
73.1%
Bot %52.0%
−18.5 pp
70.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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