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Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on April 15?

data as of 2026-04-14 03:33 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$94−$7.7K$7.8K
Holders31−4576
Trades248−49297
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.3%
−59.2 pp
94.5%
Avg ROI-4.0%
−45.7 pp
41.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.00
+6.00×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.78
+8.80×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$0
+$55
−$55
Recent buyer dominance0.22
−0.08
0.31
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.8%
−91.6 pp
1.8%
Underwater %76.9%
+51.7 pp
25.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %51.5%
+7.0 pp
44.5%
Bot %53.1%
+8.7 pp
44.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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