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Will JD Vance say "Iowa" in Des Moines?

data as of 2026-05-04 17:45 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$281+$266$15
Holders10−818
Trades32−4072
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.5%
+45.9 pp
12.5%
Avg ROI0.6%
−0.3 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.50×
×1.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.28×
×1.28
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$18
+$18
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-0.0%
+21.9 pp
-21.9%
Underwater %100.0%
+19.3 pp
80.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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