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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

data as of 2026-07-09 06:08 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.9K−$7.9K$17K
Holders433+193240
Trades2.7K+1.1K1.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.6%
−6.7 pp
56.2%
Avg ROI1.2%
+0.4 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×32.48
+31.74×
×0.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×28.79
+28.09×
×0.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.0K
−$9.6K
$16.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.07
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.6%
−133.6 pp
37.1%
Underwater %96.9%
+96.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.9%
+0.9 pp
34.9%
Bot %49.8%
−6.8 pp
56.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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