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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

data as of 2026-07-27 01:25 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$23K+$7.0K$16K
Holders386+58328
Trades3.7K+273.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.1%
−3.2 pp
51.3%
Avg ROI5.0%
+2.3 pp
2.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×61.70
+61.34×
×0.36
Top-20 avg cost vs price×52.96
+52.52×
×0.44
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$22.8K
+$7.1K
$15.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.02
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.1%
−227.0 pp
128.9%
Underwater %92.6%
+92.2 pp
0.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %44.5%
−0.7 pp
45.2%
Bot %68.2%
−11.2 pp
79.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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