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Surf FDV above $300M one day after launch?

data as of 2026-04-11 08:42 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jan 1, 2028Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
20¢
NO
85¢
YES
20¢
YesY-NNo
Position$28−$54$82
Holders5+32
Trades14+77
NO
85¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.4%
+20.5 pp
36.9%
Avg ROI19.5%
+12.3 pp
7.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.87
−0.13×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$6
$6
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL15.0%
+15.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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