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Will NYC have more than 7 inches of precipitation in December?

data as of 2025-12-30 11:17 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$64−$4.5K$4.6K
Holders59−160
Trades338+132206
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.8%
−20.8 pp
59.6%
Avg ROI35.8%
+33.0 pp
2.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.02
+5.02×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×19.31
+18.32×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$1.4K
$1.4K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.2%
−95.2 pp
0.9%
Underwater %57.3%
+57.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.8%
−18.7 pp
67.6%
Bot %37.8%
−36.8 pp
74.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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