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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?

data as of 2026-05-05 15:37 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$75K+$71K$4.4K
Holders138+7068
Trades1.1K−1511.2K
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.6%
+17.3 pp
35.2%
Avg ROI3.1%
−59.1 pp
62.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.76
−0.96×
×1.73
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.78
−7.09×
×7.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$411
−$605
$194
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL27.9%
+115.4 pp
-87.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.5 pp
99.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %72.0%
+32.3 pp
39.7%
Bot %72.0%
+32.3 pp
39.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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