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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

data as of 2026-04-17 17:40 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$26K$37K
Holders435−13448
Trades5.0K−635.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.0%
−15.2 pp
59.2%
Avg ROI-2.7%
−5.0 pp
2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×26.00
+25.35×
×0.65
Top-20 avg cost vs price×24.95
+24.31×
×0.64
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.0K
−$12.3K
$23.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
+0.06
0.84
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.0%
−142.6 pp
46.6%
Underwater %98.3%
+97.4 pp
1.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %63.3%
−5.5 pp
68.8%
Bot %64.6%
−7.2 pp
71.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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