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Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

data as of 2026-05-04 06:35 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.4K+$2.3K$2.0K
Holders61−3798
Trades563−80643
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.4%
+16.3 pp
39.1%
Avg ROI-1.5%
−0.6 pp
-1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.72
−36.28×
×37.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.71
−34.18×
×34.89
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.1K
+$824
$1.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.00
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL43.0%
+140.1 pp
-97.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−93.7 pp
93.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %80.9%
+18.3 pp
62.6%
Bot %80.8%
+17.8 pp
63.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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