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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

data as of 2026-07-21 19:04 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$19K+$7.1K$12K
Holders331+14317
Trades1.9K−792.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.3%
+0.5 pp
50.9%
Avg ROI2.2%
+1.9 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.52
−12.16×
×12.68
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.54
−12.24×
×12.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$18.4K
+$6.7K
$11.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.00
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL85.6%
+177.1 pp
-91.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %40.1%
−4.2 pp
44.3%
Bot %73.0%
−3.4 pp
76.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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