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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-23 18:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.9K+$2.7K$5.1K
Holders81+972
Trades860−46906
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.5%
−0.2 pp
50.7%
Avg ROI1.7%
+0.3 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.68
−0.85×
×1.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.65
−0.84×
×1.49
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.3K
+$2.3K
$3.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.03
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL48.9%
+82.4 pp
-33.5%
Underwater %0.7%
−90.7 pp
91.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %41.6%
−0.9 pp
42.5%
Bot %56.4%
+2.5 pp
53.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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