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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

data as of 2026-07-16 19:24 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K−$2.3K$20K
Holders271−36307
Trades1.9K−2222.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.0%
−0.6 pp
50.5%
Avg ROI3.6%
+0.8 pp
2.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×26.00
+25.49×
×0.51
Top-20 avg cost vs price×26.74
+26.19×
×0.55
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17.8K
−$548
$18.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.04
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.0%
−180.0 pp
84.1%
Underwater %98.9%
+98.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %43.2%
+2.2 pp
41.0%
Bot %79.1%
−0.1 pp
79.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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