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Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win?

data as of 2024-01-13 01:41 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$32K−$391K$424K
Holders34−1953
Trades365−9171.3K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate67.5%
+1.5 pp
66.0%
Avg ROI23.8%
+15.5 pp
8.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.53
+0.58×
×0.95
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.43
+0.48×
×0.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$447
−$19.8K
$20.2K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-30.0%
−34.9 pp
4.9%
Underwater %99.3%
+92.4 pp
7.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %36.3%
−6.9 pp
43.2%
Bot %15.7%
−27.5 pp
43.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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