Markets › detail

Will Kautkaili win Supernova 2026?

data as of 2026-02-14 21:19 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$704−$1.5K$2.2K
Holders40−242
Trades248+109139
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate62.0%
+17.1 pp
44.8%
Avg ROI12.0%
+14.1 pp
-2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.25
+0.28×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.20
+0.23×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$12
$16
Recent buyer dominance0.53
−0.47
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-19.1%
−22.4 pp
3.3%
Underwater %61.7%
+13.3 pp
48.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %7.6%
−47.8 pp
55.5%
Bot %23.6%
−8.0 pp
31.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse