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Will ACA premium tax credits be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?

data as of 2025-12-17 14:55 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$482−$22K$22K
Holders109+6247
Trades895+561334
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.0%
−22.7 pp
67.7%
Avg ROI8.7%
+4.4 pp
4.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.04×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.99
+1.03×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7
−$1.0K
$1.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.53
−0.47
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-68.0%
−71.4 pp
3.3%
Underwater %28.9%
+21.7 pp
7.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %6.7%
−34.9 pp
41.6%
Bot %6.7%
−39.0 pp
45.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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