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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4AM ET

data as of 2025-10-09 06:38 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.1K−$14K$20K
Holders88+2068
Trades1.8K−5562.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.3%
−21.1 pp
69.4%
Avg ROI6.8%
+5.5 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.50
+11.55×
×0.95
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.45
+12.48×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$52
−$513
$565
Recent buyer dominance0.86
+0.15
0.71
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.2%
−98.0 pp
5.8%
Underwater %98.1%
+68.6 pp
29.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %56.5%
−8.5 pp
65.0%
Bot %65.8%
+0.8 pp
65.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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