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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

data as of 2026-01-05 08:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K−$18K$34K
Holders298+42256
Trades4.2K+1144.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.0%
−14.4 pp
55.4%
Avg ROI5.4%
+3.7 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×342.94
+342.32×
×0.62
Top-20 avg cost vs price×274.88
+274.24×
×0.63
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$64
−$165
$229
Recent buyer dominance0.72
+0.21
0.51
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.6%
−154.8 pp
55.1%
Underwater %99.1%
+99.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.4%
−14.7 pp
74.1%
Bot %56.4%
−3.3 pp
59.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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