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Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?

data as of 2026-07-22 08:11 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
49¢
NO
51¢
YES
49¢
YesY-NNo
Position$149−$26$174
Holders13+94
Trades27+1512
NO
51¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate25.6%
−21.4 pp
47.1%
Avg ROI-1.8%
+0.8 pp
-2.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.03
+0.06×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.03
+0.05×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$144
+$2
$142
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.06
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-2.7%
−5.4 pp
2.7%
Underwater %91.6%
+91.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %8.4%
+8.4 pp
0.0%
Bot %8.4%
+8.4 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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