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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

data as of 2026-05-04 23:09 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.8K−$12K$20K
Holders429+51378
Trades2.9K+1092.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.5%
−0.3 pp
49.9%
Avg ROI2.0%
+2.8 pp
-0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.97
+14.39×
×0.59
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.75
+11.15×
×0.60
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.8K
−$3.3K
$10.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.01
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.4%
−161.1 pp
68.7%
Underwater %94.9%
+94.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %67.0%
−2.4 pp
69.3%
Bot %66.7%
−1.0 pp
67.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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