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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3PM ET

data as of 2026-04-08 19:50 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$40K+$32K$7.8K
Holders102+399
Trades1.4K−3961.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.4%
+16.8 pp
38.6%
Avg ROI0.6%
+2.7 pp
-2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.74
−17.15×
×17.88
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.68
−21.52×
×22.20
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$199
−$530
$331
Recent buyer dominance0.46
−0.54
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL43.0%
+138.6 pp
-95.7%
Underwater %0.1%
−97.2 pp
97.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %50.5%
−13.7 pp
64.2%
Bot %51.6%
−13.8 pp
65.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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