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Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on April 21?

data as of 2026-04-21 08:05 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$8.1K+$4.8K$3.3K
Holders107−63170
Trades1.1K+358693
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.8%
+1.0 pp
52.8%
Avg ROI13.9%
+9.4 pp
4.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.63
−21.05×
×21.68
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.60
−21.68×
×22.27
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$139
+$136
$2
Recent buyer dominance0.84
+0.09
0.75
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL95.5%
+191.0 pp
-95.5%
Underwater %0.6%
−98.5 pp
99.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %22.3%
−6.5 pp
28.7%
Bot %24.0%
−4.7 pp
28.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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