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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

data as of 2026-07-09 03:14 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K+$1.4K$11K
Holders269−40309
Trades1.8K−4312.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.8%
+0.4 pp
50.4%
Avg ROI1.3%
−1.7 pp
3.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.59
−23.09×
×23.68
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.60
−20.38×
×20.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.7K
−$1.4K
$11.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.84
−0.13
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL74.7%
+170.0 pp
-95.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.3 pp
99.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %38.5%
+1.3 pp
37.2%
Bot %60.6%
+4.2 pp
56.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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