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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

data as of 2026-05-12 08:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K−$2.5K$15K
Holders313−28341
Trades3.1K+283.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.6%
+0.6 pp
51.0%
Avg ROI2.1%
+0.2 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.35
−53.80×
×54.15
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.39
−53.58×
×53.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.3K
−$4.5K
$13.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.03
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL150.7%
+248.8 pp
-98.1%
Underwater %0.3%
−99.6 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.4%
+2.5 pp
67.0%
Bot %75.0%
+4.0 pp
71.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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