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Will Dansby Swanson hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

data as of 2026-07-03 01:45 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Oct 11, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
1¢
NO
99¢
YES
1¢
YesY-NNo
Position$21+$21$0
Holders8+80
Trades12+111
NO
99¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.7%
+43.7 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI-0.6%
−0.6 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.14
+5.14×
×0.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.02
+5.02×
×0.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
+$17
−$15
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-80.1%
−80.1 pp
0.0%
Underwater %98.8%
+98.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %1.2%
+1.2 pp
0.0%
Bot %1.2%
+1.2 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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