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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

data as of 2026-03-09 23:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$15K$27K
Holders261+20241
Trades3.5K−2313.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.7%
−13.2 pp
57.9%
Avg ROI-2.2%
−1.9 pp
-0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.55
+16.89×
×0.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.22
+15.54×
×0.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.0K
−$8.0K
$12.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.00
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.9%
−143.4 pp
49.5%
Underwater %97.8%
+97.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %83.3%
−5.2 pp
88.5%
Bot %82.5%
−5.2 pp
87.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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