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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

data as of 2025-12-21 04:27 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K+$12K$8.4K
Holders207−21228
Trades2.2K−4762.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.3%
+13.4 pp
44.9%
Avg ROI3.8%
+3.4 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.71
−12.68×
×13.39
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.71
−12.14×
×12.85
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.3K
+$3.0K
$2.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.83
−0.02
0.84
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL41.4%
+133.7 pp
-92.3%
Underwater %0.1%
−99.6 pp
99.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.8%
−9.1 pp
70.8%
Bot %65.0%
−7.0 pp
72.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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