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Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 19:49 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$36−$64$99
Holders20+911
Trades42+2517
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.0%
−23.3 pp
67.3%
Avg ROI5.2%
+2.7 pp
2.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.20
+6.78×
×2.43
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.61
+9.30×
×2.31
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$36
−$31
$67
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.4%
−34.7 pp
-56.7%
Underwater %88.6%
−6.1 pp
94.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.6%
+48.9 pp
8.7%
Bot %51.1%
+42.4 pp
8.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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