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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

data as of 2025-10-05 05:40 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.4K+$114$1.3K
Holders16016
Trades183+18165
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.5%
+2.4 pp
45.1%
Avg ROI0.3%
−9.7 pp
10.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.80
−0.42×
×1.22
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.79
−0.45×
×1.25
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$228
+$104
$124
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.04
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL25.9%
+45.8 pp
-19.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %72.4%
−17.7 pp
90.0%
Bot %72.4%
−17.7 pp
90.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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