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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

data as of 2026-07-20 06:09 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K−$5.0K$25K
Holders306−81387
Trades3.1K−3663.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.2%
+0.2 pp
51.0%
Avg ROI0.7%
−0.7 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.55
−9.15×
×9.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.54
−9.68×
×10.22
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$19.7K
−$5.0K
$24.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
−0.02
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL79.5%
+169.4 pp
-89.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %49.1%
+2.8 pp
46.3%
Bot %74.2%
+3.5 pp
70.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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