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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

data as of 2026-07-25 03:39 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.3K−$1.3K$5.5K
Holders250+66184
Trades1.2K+346849
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.8%
−1.4 pp
50.2%
Avg ROI-2.5%
−2.9 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.42
+6.69×
×0.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.21
+6.45×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.2K
−$909
$5.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.07
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-85.2%
−125.2 pp
40.0%
Underwater %99.3%
+99.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %22.7%
−5.0 pp
27.7%
Bot %46.6%
−11.2 pp
57.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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