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Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 15?

data as of 2026-05-15 14:27 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$567−$2.2K$2.8K
Holders111−27138
Trades709+166543
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate34.8%
−35.9 pp
70.6%
Avg ROI6.8%
+4.8 pp
2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×72.49
+71.67×
×0.82
Top-20 avg cost vs price×74.76
+73.89×
×0.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$1
+$58
−$58
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−0.30
0.30
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.6%
−115.7 pp
17.1%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.2%
+10.6 pp
24.5%
Bot %29.6%
+5.3 pp
24.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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