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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-15 22:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.3K−$3.7K$12K
Holders138+19119
Trades1.8K−1321.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.9%
−3.7 pp
54.6%
Avg ROI4.2%
−1.5 pp
5.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×44.37
+43.77×
×0.60
Top-20 avg cost vs price×46.09
+45.51×
×0.58
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.0K
−$6.1K
$8.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.01
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.6%
−167.7 pp
70.1%
Underwater %96.6%
+96.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.1%
−0.6 pp
61.7%
Bot %70.0%
−5.7 pp
75.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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