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Will Harold "Rocky" Jones be the TN-04 Republican nominee?

data as of 2026-07-23 19:46 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Aug 6, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
4¢
NO
95¢
YES
4¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1−$26$27
Holders2+11
Trades2+11
NO
95¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate31.0%
−59.0 pp
90.0%
Avg ROI54.4%
+54.1 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.25
+0.25×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.17
+0.17×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$26
$27
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-14.9%
−14.9 pp
0.0%
Underwater %70.0%
+70.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %70.0%
+70.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %70.0%
−30.0 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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