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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10AM ET

data as of 2026-07-24 14:47 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.0K−$5.2K$11K
Holders171+10467
Trades713−78791
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.6%
−11.5 pp
67.2%
Avg ROI4.1%
+2.2 pp
2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×19.07
+18.34×
×0.73
Top-20 avg cost vs price×30.04
+29.29×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$23
+$108
−$85
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.59
0.41
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.6%
−132.8 pp
36.2%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %30.8%
−8.1 pp
38.9%
Bot %32.2%
−15.2 pp
47.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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