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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

data as of 2026-04-21 01:50 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.4K−$61K$70K
Holders355−213568
Trades3.7K−2583.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.5%
−23.8 pp
63.3%
Avg ROI3.5%
+2.9 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.98
+1.23×
×0.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.50
+0.72×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.8K
−$21.4K
$30.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.03
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-41.7%
−68.8 pp
27.1%
Underwater %64.0%
+62.6 pp
1.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.6%
+1.9 pp
71.7%
Bot %61.7%
−12.4 pp
74.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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