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Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 16?

data as of 2026-06-16 18:52 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$985−$525$1.5K
Holders78−583
Trades221−17238
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.9%
−29.5 pp
70.3%
Avg ROI11.6%
+8.2 pp
3.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×45.96
+45.45×
×0.52
Top-20 avg cost vs price×40.65
+40.03×
×0.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$35
−$385
$420
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.06
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.5%
−164.0 pp
66.4%
Underwater %97.6%
+97.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %20.2%
−9.4 pp
29.5%
Bot %24.2%
−6.7 pp
30.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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