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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

data as of 2026-03-15 23:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K−$8.8K$26K
Holders375+10365
Trades4.2K+1344.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.9%
−6.9 pp
54.8%
Avg ROI-0.7%
+0.1 pp
-0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×49.00
+48.52×
×0.48
Top-20 avg cost vs price×45.38
+44.91×
×0.48
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.9K
−$827
$16.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.03
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.6%
−187.2 pp
89.6%
Underwater %97.6%
+97.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %80.0%
+2.4 pp
77.6%
Bot %78.6%
+1.3 pp
77.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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