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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

data as of 2026-07-10 07:58 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.2K+$352$4.8K
Holders110−35145
Trades862−3711.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.7%
−0.3 pp
50.1%
Avg ROI0.6%
+0.8 pp
-0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.67
−18.29×
×18.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.64
−15.91×
×16.55
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.4K
+$883
$543
Recent buyer dominance0.86
−0.09
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL55.1%
+149.4 pp
-94.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.0 pp
99.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %36.6%
−4.7 pp
41.3%
Bot %59.2%
+9.7 pp
49.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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