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Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 2?

data as of 2026-03-02 15:31 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.1K−$5.8K$6.8K
Holders122+4379
Trades733+120613
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.0%
−31.7 pp
71.8%
Avg ROI8.3%
+9.0 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.62
+13.77×
×0.84
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.39
+15.53×
×0.86
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6
−$397
$403
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.05
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.1%
−114.3 pp
20.2%
Underwater %97.8%
+97.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %18.0%
−15.0 pp
33.0%
Bot %18.0%
−13.8 pp
31.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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