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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

data as of 2026-05-11 22:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.0K−$18K$23K
Holders337+49288
Trades2.8K+2932.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.7%
−15.3 pp
61.9%
Avg ROI4.5%
+2.5 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×18.62
+17.80×
×0.83
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.83
+16.01×
×0.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.3K
−$14.8K
$19.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.00
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.0%
−117.9 pp
23.0%
Underwater %93.6%
+93.5 pp
0.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.3%
+4.1 pp
60.2%
Bot %68.7%
+3.3 pp
65.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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