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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6PM ET

data as of 2025-10-03 17:28 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.1K+$6.5K$2.6K
Holders40−1858
Trades1.2K+468710
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.0%
+18.0 pp
36.9%
Avg ROI-2.2%
+0.9 pp
-3.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.78
−4.56×
×5.34
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.74
−5.32×
×6.06
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$769
+$764
$4
Recent buyer dominance0.76
−0.15
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL33.7%
+117.3 pp
-83.6%
Underwater %1.9%
−95.4 pp
97.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.4%
+16.5 pp
64.9%
Bot %64.6%
−0.4 pp
64.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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