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Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 13?

data as of 2026-05-13 04:31 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.3K+$2.1K$264
Holders56−1268
Trades208−43251
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate66.1%
+28.3 pp
37.8%
Avg ROI-0.8%
−29.9 pp
29.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.96
−4.04×
×5.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.86
−14.16×
×15.02
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$195
+$193
$2
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.02
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL14.8%
+108.4 pp
-93.6%
Underwater %2.0%
−89.8 pp
91.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %24.8%
−10.5 pp
35.3%
Bot %24.8%
−10.5 pp
35.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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