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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

data as of 2026-05-11 04:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10K−$12K$22K
Holders312+23289
Trades2.9K+1132.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.6%
−2.1 pp
52.7%
Avg ROI-0.7%
−8.1 pp
7.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.83
−3.94×
×5.77
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.73
−3.73×
×5.46
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.2K
−$4.8K
$14.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.04
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-42.8%
+39.3 pp
-82.1%
Underwater %95.9%
−3.7 pp
99.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %51.7%
−2.1 pp
53.8%
Bot %59.1%
+0.8 pp
58.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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