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Will Ty Dillon win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG?

data as of 2026-07-24 22:15 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Aug 2, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1−$39$39
Holders3+12
Trades7+52
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate5.3%
−85.0 pp
90.3%
Avg ROI44.3%
+43.6 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.00
+4.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.78
+3.78×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$3
$3
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-79.1%
−79.1 pp
0.0%
Underwater %94.6%
+94.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %14.0%
+14.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %14.0%
−86.0 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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