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Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10AM ET

data as of 2025-08-23 15:02 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K−$29K$47K
Holders82+1468
Trades969+4965
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.0%
−11.7 pp
62.7%
Avg ROI7.2%
−0.9 pp
8.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×45.00
+44.34×
×0.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×41.28
+40.58×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$9
−$9.4K
$9.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.19
−0.70
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.6%
−143.4 pp
45.9%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.6%
−4.7 pp
73.3%
Bot %69.1%
−4.5 pp
73.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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