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Will Elon tweet between 80-99 times?

data as of 2024-08-16 21:00 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$5.6K−$521$6.1K
Holders99+5247
Trades493+208285
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.1%
−7.0 pp
46.2%
Avg ROI2.0%
−12.2 pp
14.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.97
−0.03×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14
−$150
$165
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.10
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL4.7%
+4.7 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−27.9 pp
27.9%
Bot %0.0%
−27.9 pp
27.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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